South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report

South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report
Published Aug 30, 2016
54 pages — Published Aug 30, 2016
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Abstract:

� Business Monitor International Ltd Page -- expenditure growth decelerates on the back of fiscal consolidation and gross fixed capital formation growth also slows given continued policy uncertainties. From an output approach, we see some of the impact of ---- s --.- collapse in agricultural production carrying over into ----, while the resilience of the financial services sector is tested by deteriorating macroeconomic conditions. ...From an output approach, we see some of the impact of ---- s --.- collapse in agricultural production carrying over into ----, while the resilience of the financial services sector is tested by deteriorating macroeconomic conditions. These economic developments will hamper growth in trade, through potentially curtailing growth in imports of containerised consumer goods, their export through the impact on manufacturing, and the export of commodities such as coal if work at mines is seriously disrupted through industrial action. South Africa s top trade partners in terms of its exports are primarily those to which it sells its minerals, coal in particular. ...By definition, if tariffs and non-tariff barriers between the US and the European Union decline or are eliminated, the relative barriers to entry faced by third countries become higher.

...We forecast a return to growth in South African road haulage volumes in ----, but risks to this outlook are weighted to the downside. Rising unemployment will weigh on the transport of containerised goods. Nonetheless, road freight is set to be the outperforming freight mode in ----, with tonnage growth coming in at -.- y-o-y. We forecast a return to growth for South African rail freight volumes in ----, but risks to this outlook are weighted heavily to the downside given the ongoing issues with electricity generation hampering manufacturing, rising unemployment holding back private consumption, and a downgrade to our coal production forecast following news that Anglo Mining is looking to offload some of its assets in the country. Nonetheless, rail freight volumes will expand by -.- to ---.--mn tonnes in ----. ...Air freight volumes will grow by -.- in ----, to reach -.--mn tonnes. ---- total trade real growth is forecast at -.- , while in nominal terms, growth will contract by --.- to

...We believe that following a Q- bottom in commodity prices, the South African current account deficit will narrow to -.- of GDP in ---- from ---- s -.- and ---- s -.- , on the back of a narrowing of the trade deficit. We expect industrial metal prices to have bottomed out in Q---, a medium-term view that has been bolstered by high-frequency data showing markets moving toward backwardation, which aligns with global production balances beginning to tighten. ...

  
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report" Aug 30, 2016. Alacra Store. Dec 07, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/South-Africa-Freight-Transport-and-Shipping-Report-2026-1906>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2016). South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report Aug 30, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 07, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/South-Africa-Freight-Transport-and-Shipping-Report-2026-1906>
  
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