Slovenia Business Forecast Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Slovenia Business Forecast Report

Slovenia Business Forecast Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Slovenia Business Forecast Report
Published Dec 12, 2014
42 pages — Published Dec 12, 2014
Price US$ 1,195.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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Abstract:

Although the EU will remain a policy anchor for Slovenia over the long term, massive economic pressures will be a major test for the country s political institutions.A structural shift in policy and/or governing institu- tions is unlikely, though we caution that failure to develop a long-term growth model will raise challenges to governance, potentially exacer- bating political party divisions. Despite near-term economic pressures, the long-term political outlook for Slovenia is relatively benign, with a low likelihood of a major structural or policy change within our ---year forecast period. ...Despite near-term economic pressures, the long-term political outlook for Slovenia is relatively benign, with a low likelihood of a major structural or policy change within our ---year forecast period. The country will continue to benefit from a high degree of integration with Euro-Atlantic institutions, being one of only two states in the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) region to hold full membership of NATO, the EU, the eurozone and Schengen Agreement. Western integration reflects Slovenia s high degree of institutional development, with an established liberal democracy, advanced civil society and minimal ethnic ten- sions underpinning our broadly positive core political scenario. ...Furthermore, we maintain that the structure of economic growth will shift away from domestic demand and towards ex- ports, with private consumption growth leveling off at a much slower rate compared to pre-crisis levels. - Business Monitor International Ltd www political outlook a relatively stable outlook

...With a bank bailout now part of our core view, the risks of rising public discontent with harsh austerity measures will increase, with a probable anti-incumbency bias becoming increasingly prevalent. This may translate into much more fractious political campaigns than in years past. ...That said, there are risks that Slovenia s role could be diminished should long-standing border disagreements with Croatia fail to be resolved in a timely manner. The recent bilateral agreement to solve a long-standing dispute over debt left over from the breakup of Yugoslavia is a positive step, and the ratification of Croatia s EU accession in ---- has boosted diplomatic and business ties between the neighbouring states. With this in mind, the downside risks are limited. ...We maintain that Slovenia s political institutions are robust and the social environment open, so the system should be more than capable of managing any potential rise in social discontent resulting from a slowdown in economic growth. Overcoming the abrupt government change will demonstrate political maturity, while the EU anchor will also ensure that the country s pro-market policy direction re- mains largely unchanged, with political debate to centre around moderate left and right-wing parties.

...Domestic - political outlook improving Despite the new government being broadly left-leaning, the fiscal outlook seems better than we initially anticipated, and privatisation plans appear to be on track. table: Political overview - Long-term political outlook - economic slump a test For < ALACRA META ABSTRACT>Although the EU will remain a policy anchor for Slovenia over the long term, massive economic pressures will be a major test for the country s political institutions.A structural shift in policy and/or governing institutions is unlikely, though we caution that failure to develop a long-term growth model will raise challenges to governance, potentially exacerbating political party divisions. ...

  
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Document ID
1744-8832
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Slovenia Business Forecast Report" Dec 12, 2014. Alacra Store. Dec 03, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Slovenia-Business-Forecast-Report-2026-1642>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2014). Slovenia Business Forecast Report Dec 12, 2014. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 03, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Slovenia-Business-Forecast-Report-2026-1642>
  
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