Russia Infrastructure Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Russia Infrastructure Report

Russia Infrastructure Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Russia Infrastructure Report
Published Aug 27, 2016
72 pages — Published Aug 27, 2016
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Abstract:

The EU in June extended sanctions against Russia until January --, ----. As before, this fresh round of sanctions, which stem from Russia s ---- annexation of the Crimea and alleged meddling in Eastern Ukraine, targets broad swaths of the Russian economy, most crucially the ability of Russian state-owned banks to raise capital in European financial markets. We have slightly downgraded our construction sector growth outlook for ----, from a contraction of -.-- to one of -.-- , as Russia s macro-economic situation continues to stagnate. We expect the weakness of the rouble and persistently low oil prices to take their toll on the residential and non- residential subsector in particular, with sector value forecast to contract by --.- ; on the other hand, owing to its importance to the Russian economy and the country s geopolitical ambitions, we expect the government to continue to prioritise infrastructure projects in the oil and gas pipeline sector, which informs our belief that it will emerge as the outperformer in ----. China will continue to emerge as Russia s primary financing partner for infrastructure projects in a protracted era of western sanctions. ...China will continue to emerge as Russia s primary financing partner for infrastructure projects in a protracted era of western sanctions. A USD--bn loan for the Yamal LNG project is the latest example of a deepening bi-lateral relationship, which has hitherto included a USD-bn loan for the Power of Siberia

...International sanctions, which were renewed by the EU in June for a period of six months, continue to weigh on our real growth forecast for Russia s construction sector, which we have revised downward to --.-- from --.-- for ----. However, we note that, in our view, international sanctions are likely to be lifted or eased at some point in ----, providing a limited degree of upside risk to our longer-term growth forecast. ...However, we note that, in our view, international sanctions are likely to be lifted or eased at some point in ----, providing a limited degree of upside risk to our longer-term growth forecast. China will continue to emerge as the primary external financier of Russian infrastructure projects, as sanctions will largely preclude state-owned Russian banks from accessing global financial markets until at least January ----. While China is investing across all areas of Russian infrastructure, it has been particularly active in investing in transport and energy projects throughout Russia s Far East that further its geopolitical ambitions. ...While China is investing across all areas of Russian infrastructure, it has been particularly active in investing in transport and energy projects throughout Russia s Far East that further its geopolitical ambitions. We expect the Oil and Gas Pipeline subsector to outperform over the next five years with an annualised average growth rate of -.- as the Russian government prioritises funding for economically and geopolitically vital pipeline projects like Power of Siberia.

...Russia s overall score holds fast at --, below the regional average of --.- and placing it above Bosnia, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and the Ukraine. Russia s Country Risk score registered a slight increase to --.- on the back of policy continuity. ...

  
Source:
Document ID
1750-5445
Country
Industry
Format:
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Russia Infrastructure Report" Aug 27, 2016. Alacra Store. Dec 05, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Russia-Infrastructure-Report-2026-235>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2016). Russia Infrastructure Report Aug 27, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 05, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Russia-Infrastructure-Report-2026-235>
  
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