Russia Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Russia Country Risk Report

Russia Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Russia Country Risk Report
Published May 26, 2015
55 pages — Published May 26, 2015
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Abstract:

Source: BMI much more apathetic to current economic circumstances than Ukrainians were at the time of their uprisings. The -.- contraction we forecast for the Russian economy in ---- will undoubtedly have lasting effects on the wealth of citizens. ...Economically speaking, the same survey revealed that planned distribution of wealth was almost twice as popular as a laissez-faire market economy. Given that the Russian economy is already structured in such a way, where state-owned companies extract economic rent from natural resources, and the subsequent redistribution of this wealth is largely handled by central planners through social transfers, this suggests that there may not enough public willpower to support a drastic shift towards liberalisation of political or economic policy. Surveys conducted in early ---- also showed a considerable degree of political apathy among the section of society that is arguably most able to bring about change. ...

...Despite downward revisions to our social stability score for Russia, we continue to view a popular uprising as an unlikely scenario. Qualitative evidence suggests that the current economic and political system is favoured by the majority, while heavy media management by the gov- ernment continues to bolster the sense of national solidarity. ...The two uprisings were prompted by a desire for closer relations with the West (essentially the EU and US), and widespread dissatisfaction with Ukraine s perceived authoritarian drift, economic mismanagement and high levels of corruption. However, in the case of present-day Russia, the government (Putin in particular) is far more popular than its deposed Ukrain- ian counterparts were, and the Russian middle class appears - Business Monitor International Ltd www.bmiresearch.com However, in the case of present-day Russia, the government (Putin in particular) is far more popular than its deposed Ukrain- ian counterparts were, and the Russian middle class appears - Business Monitor International Ltd www.bmiresearch.com ...However, in the case of present-day Russia, the government (Putin in particular) is far more popular than its deposed Ukrain- ian counterparts were, and the Russian middle class appears - Business Monitor International Ltd www.bmiresearch.com

...In the best-case scenario, the fighting gradually declines to negligible levels and ultimately ceases altogether. The stipulated buffer zone between the combatants becomes fully effective, reducing the chances of casualties, even in periods of heightened tensions. Russian troops (which are not officially part of the conflict) are withdrawn, and Donetsk and Luhansk are given broad autonomy within the Ukrainian state. After a few months, Eastern Ukraine essentially becomes a frozen conflict similar to Transnistria in neighbouring Moldova, Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan, Abkhazia and South Ossetia in Georgia, or the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus. Reconstruction gradually moves forward, leading to increased economic activity. ...

  
Source:
Document ID
1744-8824
Country
Format:
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Russia Country Risk Report" May 26, 2015. Alacra Store. Dec 04, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Russia-Country-Risk-Report-2026-1722>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2015). Russia Country Risk Report May 26, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 04, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Russia-Country-Risk-Report-2026-1722>
  
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