Pakistan Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Pakistan Country Risk Report

Pakistan Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Pakistan Country Risk Report
Published Jul 23, 2015
49 pages — Published Jul 23, 2015
Price US$ 1,195.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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Best-case Scenario � Continued Moderate Civilian Rule: In this scenario, the civilian government maintains its authority and the population remains committed to supporting moderate political parties rather than radical movements. The army man- ages to keep a lid on Islamist militancy and Pakistan retains its generally pro-Western alignment, plus its rapprochement with India. ...Pakistan s last military ruler, Pervez Musharraf, is credited with delivering strong economic growth, although this was also due to a robust global economy. Worst-case Scenario � Radical Islamist Regime: This is the nightmare scenario for Western and Indian policymakers, since it would provide a tremendous boost for the forces of radical Islam and make Pakistan a much more aggressive state on the regional and global stage. Moreover, Islamabad s nuclear arsenal would make it very difficult for the West to pressure Pakistan. ...Other Scenarios � Unity Versus Fragmentation: In addition to how the military-versus-civilian and moderate-versus-radical dynamics play out, there are two other forces to consider, namely forces of unity (centripetal forces) and disunity (centrifugal forces). These can have both peaceful and violent manifestations.

...Pakistan is at risk of experiencing years of instability and militant activity, but an outright collapse of the state is unlikely unless the core province of Punjab becomes ungovernable. Under such circumstances, we would not preclude a military coup. ...However, even without Islamist attacks, governance will remain weak, thus constraining economic development. challenges and threats to stability Weak Institutions: Although the main political parties have ideological differences, they are largely personality- or family- dominated, and this has led to accusations of nepotism, patron- age, and corruption. This, in turn, has proved a source of public anger and unrest. ...This backdrop makes it all the more urgent for both the government and the private sector to create sufficient job opportunities in order to absorb the expanding labour force.

...Source: BMI strikes against the Tehrik-e-Taliban (Pakistan Taliban) in North Waziristan have been largely successful, forcing terrorists into Afghanistan, with terrorist attacks plunging in recent months. Major General Asim Bajwa, chief spokesman for the Pakistan military, has stated that so far -,--- terrorists have been killed in tribal areas during the first year of the operation, while an- other --- have been killed in Pakistani cities. ...

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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Pakistan Country Risk Report" Jul 23, 2015. Alacra Store. Oct 26, 2016. <>
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2015). Pakistan Country Risk Report Jul 23, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Oct 26, 2016 from <>
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