Mongolia Infrastructure Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Mongolia Infrastructure Report

Mongolia Infrastructure Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Mongolia Infrastructure Report
Published Oct 08, 2016
35 pages — Published Oct 08, 2016
Price US$ 1,295.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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Abstract:

Mongolia s rapid economic expansion at times over the past decade has fuelled equally significant gains in the construction and infrastructure sectors. Spurred on by the discovery of vast copper, gold, coal, uranium and rare earth deposits, mining industry investment was a key catalyst towards spiking GDP growth of --.- in ----. ...We now forecast base affected positive growth returning in ---- at -.- , the start of a more moderate medium-term trend of -.- average growth between ---- and ----, in line with returning healthy GDP growth, before mellowing to -.- ---------. There are firm fundamentals underpinning Mongolia s construction outlook over the next five years, namely strong GDP growth (we forecast -.- annual average growth to ----), the underdeveloped state of much of the country s existing infrastructure, the commodities sector and strengthening regional cooperation and investment. Additionally, the election in July of the Mongolian People s Party (MPP) by a landslide will bode well for the mining industry and political stability in general, paving the way for growing confidence in the investment environment (see MPP Victory To Boost Mining Industry , Jul --). ...As well as Tavan Tolgoi, Rio Tinto s Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold mine will receive impetus. We therefore forecast sector growth coming in at -.- in ----, -.- in ---- and averaging -.- annually to ----.

...Furthermore, we see several risks to Mongolia s economic prospects over the near-term, which could see growth surprise to the upside. First, fixed investment and credit creation in the Chinese economy are showing signs of stabilisation and even better than expected growth, and positive momentum could last for longer than expected. ...Furthermore, we see several risks to Mongolia s economic prospects over the near-term, which could see growth surprise to the upside. First, fixed investment and credit creation in the Chinese economy are showing signs of stabilisation and even better than expected growth, and positive momentum could last for longer than expected. A longer than expected stabilisation phase could provide a boost to Mongolian commodity exports. ...A longer than expected stabilisation phase could provide a boost to Mongolian commodity exports. Second, given our Commodities team s expectations that the worst is over for commodity prices and industrial metal prices are likely to have bottomed out in ----, foreign investors may slowly start to increase investment in the natural resources sector, particularly now the MPP have won the election, implying some form of policy continuity.

...After two years of recession, we forecast sector growth adjusting to -.- in ---- and averaging -.- annually to ----. The pro-investment Mongolian People s Party won a landslide parliament election in June, paving the way for more investment into the mining industry by seeking to resume the Tavan Tolgoi coal mine and increase momentum in phase two of Rio Tinto s Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold mine, which is now underway. ...

  
Source:
Document ID
2058-0673
Country
Industry
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Mongolia Infrastructure Report" Oct 08, 2016. Alacra Store. Dec 09, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Mongolia-Infrastructure-Report-2026-1814>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2016). Mongolia Infrastructure Report Oct 08, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 09, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Mongolia-Infrastructure-Report-2026-1814>
  
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