Lebanon and Syria Business Forecast Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Lebanon and Syria Business Forecast Report

Lebanon and Syria Business Forecast Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Lebanon and Syria Business Forecast Report
Published Dec 12, 2014
48 pages — Published Dec 12, 2014
Price US$ 1,195.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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Abstract:

- Business Monitor International Ltd www BMI Ratings poLiticaL risK structural risks remain Lebanon will remain one of the most politically unstable countries in the region in the foreseeable future owing to the complicated mix of ethnic communities in a relatively open and democratic environment. The fact that neighbouring Syria has experienced a complete breakdown in its security environment does little to inspire confidence in stability. ...econoMic risK tough times ahead The Lebanese economy will post relatively uninspiring growth over the coming years as key sectors such as tourism and fixed investment continue to suffer from the impact of regional unrest. With the highest current account deficit in the region, Lebanon is certainly one of the economies most at risk from regional instability and could see a slow- down in domestic demand should the country experience pronounced capital outflows. That said, the economy will benefit from its exposure to the faster growing Gulf Cooperation Council through high remittance and banking sector deposits. ...BMi risk index � Lebanon Latest score previous score region ave Global Mkts ave s-t Political --.- --.- --.- --.- l-t Political --.- --.- --.- --.- s-t economy --.- --.- --.- --.- l-t economy --.- --.- --.- --.-

...- Business Monitor International Ltd www BMi indices � Brief Methodology composite score The composite score is an unweighted geometric mean of the short-term political and short-term economic scores, allowing a ranking of all countries in BMI s emerging markets universe. political index The political index is an indicator of political stability, seen as a pre-requisite for a stable economy and business environment. ...The factors included in the short-term score are a subset of those in the long-term score. operational risk BMI s Operational Risk Index provides a comprehensive overview of potential risks facing investors operating in a country, as well as a cross-country regional evaluation of threats and advantages. The factors included in the short-term score are a subset of those in the long-term score. ...operational risk BMI s Operational Risk Index provides a comprehensive overview of potential risks facing investors operating in a country, as well as a cross-country regional evaluation of threats and advantages.

...We expect the civil war in Syria to continue for many years. A negotiated settlement following a protracted conflict or a formal break- up of the country appear at this stage the two most likely outcomes, while an outright victory by either the regime or the rebels is less probable. ...We forecast the unit to trade at SYP---.--/USD in the official market by the end of ----, and to lose almost -- of its value by the end of ----. taBle: currency forecast -- taBle: exchanGe rate -- chapter -.- ---Year Forecast � syria -- the syrian economy to -- protracted War Leads economy to The civil war in Syria will result in a sharp contraction of GDP compared to pre-war levels, and the real economy will only return to growth in ----. Economic activity will partially stabilise within different regions of the country, with government-control led areas faring better than rebel-held territory. ...

  
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Document ID
2049-1980
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Lebanon and Syria Business Forecast Report" Dec 12, 2014. Alacra Store. Dec 03, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Lebanon-and-Syria-Business-Forecast-Report-2026-1631>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2014). Lebanon and Syria Business Forecast Report Dec 12, 2014. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 03, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Lebanon-and-Syria-Business-Forecast-Report-2026-1631>
  
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