Kosovo and Montenegro Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Kosovo and Montenegro Country Risk Report

Kosovo and Montenegro Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Kosovo and Montenegro Country Risk Report
Published May 26, 2015
53 pages — Published May 26, 2015
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League of Kosovo (LDK) � will face more frequent instances of public protests organised by opposition parties in the coming quarters (see Unity Of Coalition Stronger Than Appears , Janu- ary --). Relations between the hard-line nationalist opposition party Vetevendosje (VV) and the LDK have soured considerably following the LDK s decision to break the partnership formed after general elections in June ---- and instead to form a coali- tion with the PDK. ...In addition, perceptions among the Serbian population of the ASM are similarly nega- tive, which would further dissuade the authorities in Belgrade from pushing ahead with the implementation for fear of further aggravating public discontent with Vuci s austerity measures. Despite these impediments, we eventually expect Pristina and Belgrade to make the necessary compromises � falling short of Serbia recognising Kosovo s sovereignty � in order to continue progress towards further integration within Western political and economic institutions. The political will in both capitals to pursue EU membership remains strong, while there is grow- ing awareness among the population of the benefits of further integration with the West. ...As such, we do not envision any public -- Business Monitor International Ltd www.bmiresearch.com

...Political Future Far From certain Despite serb agreement BMi vieW Kosovo s long-term political future is far from assured, with a host of structural economic inefficiencies, weak institutions and societal schisms weighing on the country s outlook through to ----. Our core scenario envisages an international stalemate developing over the ---- unilateral declaration of independence, which, in turn, leads to a broad consensus for the current peaceful status quo. ...While the lack of international recognition will certainly constrain the government s presence in international bodies such as the UN, it will not prevent Kosovo from developing deeper trade links with the broader region. Kosovo s long-term political risk profile remains among the weakest in the emerging Europe region, with its immature political institutions, endemic poverty, interethnic tensions, a lack of centralised government control and ongoing international disagreements surrounding the legality of its ---- unilateral declaration of independence (UDI) from Serbia all weighing on our outlook for the Western Balkan economy through to ----. While quasi-governmental institutions were in place before February ---- s UDI, developments since then have served to highlight the significant obstacles standing in the way of the country s path towards becoming a consolidated democratic state within Europe. ...

...BMi indices � Brief Methodology composite score The composite score is an unweighted geometric mean of the short-term political and short-term economic scores, allowing a ranking of all countries in BMI s emerging markets universe. Political risk index The political index is an indicator of political stability, seen as a pre-requisite for a stable economy and business environment. ...The factors included in the short-term score are a subset of those in the long-term score. operational risk index BMI s Operational Risk Index provides a comprehensive overview of potential risks facing investors operating in a country, as well as a cross-country regional evaluation of threats and advantages. The factors included in the short-term score are a subset of those in the long-term score. ...

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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Kosovo and Montenegro Country Risk Report" May 26, 2015. Alacra Store. Oct 28, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Kosovo-and-Montenegro-Country-Risk-Report-2026-1715>
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2015). Kosovo and Montenegro Country Risk Report May 26, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Oct 28, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Kosovo-and-Montenegro-Country-Risk-Report-2026-1715>
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