Iran Telecommunications Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Iran Telecommunications Report

Iran Telecommunications Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Iran Telecommunications Report
Published Sep 10, 2016
55 pages — Published Sep 10, 2016
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Abstract:

Data from MTN Irancell and Mobile Telecommunication Company of Iran (Hamrahe Aval) show that growth in Iran s mobile market has accelerated virtually every quarter since the launch of -G/-G services in the second half of ----. The market saw a contraction in Q---, which we believe is due to inactive sim discounting as this was offset by further growth in Q---. ...However, as the majority of mobile subscriptions are prepaid, it is likely that there will be periods of inactive SIM discounting, posing a downside risk to our forecast. Although the Iranian market has faced political and economic turmoil over recent years and BMI is still cautious over Iran s outlook, the UN Security Council unanimous vote in July ---- to lift the sanctions against Iran, following a deal on Iran s nuclear programme, is grounds for an optimistic outlook. BMI s Country Risk team has made a slight upward revision to its economic growth forecast for Iran due to the lifting of sanctions in January ----, forecasting real GDP growth to pick up from -.- in ----, to -.- in ---- and -.- in ----. ...Although the Iranian market has faced political and economic turmoil over recent years and BMI is still cautious over Iran s outlook, the UN Security Council unanimous vote in July ---- to lift the sanctions against Iran, following a deal on Iran s nuclear programme, is grounds for an optimistic outlook. BMI s Country Risk team has made a slight upward revision to its economic growth forecast for Iran due to the lifting of sanctions in January ----, forecasting real GDP growth to pick up from -.- in ----, to -.- in ---- and -.- in ----.

...BMI s Country Risk team maintains its revised economic growth forecast for Iran due to the lifting of sanctions in January ----, with real GDP growth expected to reach -.- in ----, up from -.- in ----. We have made some revisions to our mobile subscriptions forecast this quarter and estimate that the market will reach over ---.-mn by end of ---- with penetration rates inching towards --- . ...BMI s Country Risk team maintains its revised economic growth forecast for Iran due to the lifting of sanctions in January ----, with real GDP growth expected to reach -.- in ----, up from -.- in ----. We have made some revisions to our mobile subscriptions forecast this quarter and estimate that the market will reach over ---.-mn by end of ---- with penetration rates inching towards --- . We take into consideration the entry of MVNOs, expected to launch in ----/--. ...We maintain a positive outlook for the sector, with average annual growth of --.- from ---------. This will bring total subscriptions to --.-mn by the end of the forecast period.

...On the competition side, Iran has opened a tender for MVNOs, which we expect to launch services during ----, and the government has also announced plans to issue wholesale wireless broadband licences, which will bring more competition to the -G/-G market. Meanwhile, in December ---- the Iranian government imposed maximum limits on how much operators can charge for their data, with a maximum tariff of IRR-.- per KB for post-paid data and IRR-.-- per KB on pre-paid price plans. ...

  
Source:
Document ID
1748-460X
Country
Industry
Industry
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Iran Telecommunications Report" Sep 10, 2016. Alacra Store. Dec 04, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Iran-Telecommunications-Report-2026-555>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2016). Iran Telecommunications Report Sep 10, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 04, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Iran-Telecommunications-Report-2026-555>
  
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