Iran Freight Transport and Shipping Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Iran Freight Transport and Shipping Report

Iran Freight Transport and Shipping Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Iran Freight Transport and Shipping Report
Published Sep 10, 2016
49 pages — Published Sep 10, 2016
Price US$ 1,295.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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Abstract:

BMI View: The removal of most of the sanctions previously imposed on Iran will be the biggest factor affecting trade in the country over the medium term as Iran s government looks to negotiate deals that benefit the economy and, by extension, the freight industry as a whole. Iran s economy will see a notable acceleration in growth in ---- and beyond; however, because of huge infrastructure deficits and other major impediments such as corruption, it will be limited to around --- over the coming years. ...Increased interest and funding pledges for Iranian infrastructure from regional nations in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia will be a significant driver of accelerated growth in infrastructure investment over the coming months. Recent high-profile deals (see below table) include a Kremlin-backed USD-.-bn loan designated for rail and power improvements and a commitment on the part of the Indian government to extend USD---mn for the development of port and rail infrastructure at Chabahar. Iran stands to benefit from Chabahar, as it will get an enhanced port from which to export more goods to India and the Asia-Pacific region at a time when Iran is seeking to reintegrate itself into the global economy. ...Iran has huge potential across almost all sectors, not just oil and gas which attracts most of the attention, and we highlight industries related to the consumer - especially autos and food and drink. Pent-up demand, a youthful population, a skilled workforce, and a strong hydrocarbon and consumer story all make Iran one of the most positive and relatively well-balanced economic growth stories in the Middle East over the next decade.

...� Business Monitor International Ltd Page -- sanctions were imposed, and the two countries have signed deals aiming to boost bilateral trade to USD---bn by ----. Iran is, therefore, well placed to enhance its position as a key transit hub for East-West trade over the long term. ...On the back of sanctions relief we forecast Iran will record GDP growth rates of more than - over the coming years, following on from a -- contraction in US dollar terms over the past four years. Pent-up demand, a youthful population, a skilled workforce, and a large hydrocarbon and consumer story will make Iran one of the most positive and relatively well-balanced growth stories in the Middle East over the next decade. There are, of course, major impediments facing the Iranian economy, not least the rampant corruption in the country and the years of underinvestment across almost all sectors, which will prevent an immediate boom. Fixed investment and exports will become increasingly important growth drivers - though this will be a slow process due to constraints on the global banking and insurance sectors, given remaining US sanctions. Indeed, while we expect President Hassan Rouhani s administration to undertake significant efforts to reform the economy, the effects will be limited by a persistently opaque business environment, domestic resistance to opening up the economy and the slow political process.

...In ----, we forecast that total trade will see real growth of -.- , which is significantly up on last quarter s forecast as the benefits of the removal of most sanctions on Iran become more apparent. This growth will be driven by exports, which will see real growth of -.- , while imports will expand by -.- . ...

  
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Document ID
2397-396X
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Iran Freight Transport and Shipping Report" Sep 10, 2016. Alacra Store. Dec 10, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Iran-Freight-Transport-and-Shipping-Report-2026-1860>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2016). Iran Freight Transport and Shipping Report Sep 10, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 10, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Iran-Freight-Transport-and-Shipping-Report-2026-1860>
  
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