Iran Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Iran Country Risk Report

Iran Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Iran Country Risk Report
Published Jul 23, 2015
53 pages — Published Jul 23, 2015
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Abstract:

(IRGC) � will remain dominated by conservatives and resist attempts at liberalisation, but there will still be considerable pressure for greater political and social freedoms. The struggle between hardliners and moderates will intensify in the run-up to the June ---- presidential election, in which the relatively moderate Hassan Rouhani, elected in ----, seeks a second term. ...Iran s political system is virtually unique in the world, combining an Islamist theocracy with revolutionary republicanism and a very heavily managed democracy. Ever since the establishment of the Islamic Republic following the Iranian Revolution of ----, outside observers have been predict- ing the collapse of the clerical regime, but it has proved highly resilient, surviving a brutal eight-year war with Iraq (----- ----), subsequent international isolation and rising domestic opposition, most evident in the aftermath of the disputed ---- presidential election. challenges and threats to stability Democratic Shortcomings: Although the Islamic regime was swept to power in a mass uprising in ----, the clerics who sub- sequently came to power have failed to build liberal democratic institutions. Elections are held for parliament and the presidency, but candidates are thoroughly vetted and the process is heavily managed. Moreover, parliament and the president are subordi- -- Business Monitor International Ltd www.bmiresearch.com

...Iranian and russian Interests Likely to Diverge over Multiyear time Frame Despite several shared interests, we believe that Iran and Russia may diverge beyond the next five to -- years, for the follow- ing reasons: � Firstly, the Western world ultimately offers Iran more op- portunities � in terms of markets and sources of foreign direct investment � than Russia. ...Iranian and russian Interests Likely to Diverge over Multiyear time Frame Despite several shared interests, we believe that Iran and Russia may diverge beyond the next five to -- years, for the follow- ing reasons: � Firstly, the Western world ultimately offers Iran more op- portunities � in terms of markets and sources of foreign direct investment � than Russia. Even if Russia itself were not under sanctions, its relatively statist economy (due to over-dependency on its oil and gas industry) offers Iran limited opportunities for the transfer of technology and know-how in many key sectors. ...

...Competing Power Centres: Iran has many powerful institu- tions, including the Supreme Leader, president, Majlis (parlia- ment), Expediency Council, Assembly of Experts, armed forces, IRGC, Basij militia and VEVAK intelligence service. Although it could be argued that different bodies provide useful checks and balances on one another, competition between them can destabilise the political scene from time to time. ...Iran is no different: the official unemployment rate was above -- in ----, but unof- ficial estimates put it closer to -- , with youth unemployment likely to be even higher. That said, Iran s total fertility rate (the average number of children a woman will have in her lifetime) has been falling sharply, from above -.- in the early ----s to below -.- (the replacement level) by the early ----s (it stood at -.-- in ----). This is likely to gradually reduce population pressure in Iran. ...

  
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1744-8867
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Iran Country Risk Report" Jul 23, 2015. Alacra Store. Dec 03, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Iran-Country-Risk-Report-2026-1776>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2015). Iran Country Risk Report Jul 23, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 03, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Iran-Country-Risk-Report-2026-1776>
  
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