France Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

France Country Risk Report

France Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
France Country Risk Report
Published Jul 23, 2015
53 pages — Published Jul 23, 2015
Price US$ 1,195.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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Abstract:

Source: Europarl, BMI be soundly defeated by Chirac. We believe that social tensions surrounding immigration from Muslim nations and the effect that this is having on French society, combined with a stagnant economy, will foster greater support for extremist political par- ties across France over the next decade, with the FN set to be the main beneficiary. ...Source: Europarl, BMI be soundly defeated by Chirac. We believe that social tensions surrounding immigration from Muslim nations and the effect that this is having on French society, combined with a stagnant economy, will foster greater support for extremist political par- ties across France over the next decade, with the FN set to be the main beneficiary. challenges and Threats To Stability The Rise Of The Far-Right: Rising unemployment, increased perceptions of mass immigration and the eurozone sovereign debt crisis have breathed a new life into France s far-right political forces. ...This is despite the fact that just -.- of French workers were members of a trade union in ----, down from around -- in the ----s. We remain downbeat towards the short-term prospects for economic

...France Q- ---- core Views we believe that France s economic growth will lag the rest of the eurozone over the next two years as investment growth and external demand remain lacklustre, while meagre wage growth and high unemployment mean that household consumption � traditionally the key driver of the economy � will become less able to support growth. ...we think that this target will also be missed, and do not forecast a budget deficit below - of GDP until ----. Major Forecast changes we have notched up our ---- headline real GDP growth forecast to -.- , from -.- previously, to reflect building consumer mo- mentum domestically and accelerating growth momentum across the eurozone as European Central Bank quantitative easing takes hold and supply-side disinflationary pressure increases households purchasing power. we have revised our ---- and ---- current account forecasts to --.- and --.- of GDP, from --.- and --.- respectively, to reflect the declining energy import bill following the steep decline in global oil prices that occurred over H---. ...

...France will have the largest population in the EU by ---- � at around --.-mn, by the INSEE national statistics institute s es- timates � and one of the oldest in the world, with one in three older than --. While the ageing demographic dynamics are not quite as bad as in other EU states (such as Germany), they pose a significant problem for France s welfare state, which may struggle to meet commitments to pensioners. Tensions could begin to grow between the dependent and the working populations over the coming decade, as pension-related fiscal problems begin to come to the fore. Regional Separatist Demands: Several major EU member states continue to deal with sizeable regional or separatist movements, such as Spain and the Catalan independence movement, or the UK and Scottish nationalists calls for separation. France by and large does not suffer from the same widespread and fervent regional independence movements, but that is not to say we will not see a flare-up in tensions that have lain dormant for years. ...

  
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Document ID
2040-6266
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "France Country Risk Report" Jul 23, 2015. Alacra Store. Dec 08, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/France-Country-Risk-Report-2026-1771>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2015). France Country Risk Report Jul 23, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 08, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/France-Country-Risk-Report-2026-1771>
  
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