France Autos Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

France Autos Report

France Autos Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
France Autos Report
Published Aug 20, 2016
34 pages — Published Aug 20, 2016
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Abstract:

However, beneficial disinflationary pressures will largely dissipate by early ---- as the base effects of lower oil prices begin to take hold. Furthermore, unemployment is unlikely to improve markedly over ---- thanks to the inefficiencies of France s labour market and the lack of fixed investment by the private sector. ...In the commercial vehicle segment, we believe that sales will continue to grow at a marginal pace of -.- in ----, at an annual average growth of -.- over ---------. Commercial vehicle sales have usually been held back by low rates of fixed investments by private enterprises, households and the government across the country, with gross fixed capital spending having been shrinking since Q---. As businesses shied away from capital expenditure commercial vehicle sales fell. However, our Country Risk team now expect a marginal increase in gross fixed investments over the next few years as business confidence rises, leading to added investments in CV fleets. However, we believe growth will still remain slow as France s cumbersome labour costs, falling worker productivity, uncertainty surrounding the effects of Brexit and weak growth prospects hamper business expectations of future profit growth and sales opportunities.

...In ----, we forecast a -.- increase in vehicle sales as resurgent growth in the passenger car market compensates for continued stagnation across the commercial vehicle (CV) segment. This forecast is indicative of a broader trend emerging throughout the French economy, whereby consumer spending and retail-orientated industries, such as the passenger car market, have shown a sustained uptick helped by a cyclical uptick in the economy. ...In ----, we forecast a -.- increase in vehicle sales as resurgent growth in the passenger car market compensates for continued stagnation across the commercial vehicle (CV) segment. This forecast is indicative of a broader trend emerging throughout the French economy, whereby consumer spending and retail-orientated industries, such as the passenger car market, have shown a sustained uptick helped by a cyclical uptick in the economy. Although Brexit has dashed the growth outlook for the French economy causing our Country Risk team to revise down their GDP forecasts for ---- and ----, private consumption will remain a key driver of growth. ...This is due to the fact that French exports to the UK account for around - of total exports, while it was also France s third largest foreign direct investor in ----. This uncertainty will hamper potential CV demand despite the retail sector s positive impact on logistics and freight.

...We see sales of new passenger cars to increase -.- in ----, reaching -.-mn vehicles, following from -.- growth in passenger car sales in ----. Our Country Risk team have highlighted that consumer confidence has risen to its highest level since ----, largely due to the positive effect that low oil prices have had on real incomes. ...

  
Source:
Document ID
1748-989X
Country
Industry
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "France Autos Report" Aug 20, 2016. Alacra Store. Dec 06, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/France-Autos-Report-2026-169>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2016). France Autos Report Aug 20, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 06, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/France-Autos-Report-2026-169>
  
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