Central Asia Power Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Central Asia Power Report

Central Asia Power Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Central Asia Power Report
Published Jan 09, 2016
81 pages — Published Jan 09, 2016
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Abstract:

The devaluation of the Kazakh tenge puts pressure on the currencies of Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. In particular, the Kyrgyz and Tajik economies are likely to suffer the most, as they rely heavily on remittances from Kazakhstan and a poorly performing Russia. ...In particular, the Kyrgyz and Tajik economies are likely to suffer the most, as they rely heavily on remittances from Kazakhstan and a poorly performing Russia. The development of Kyrgyzstani and Tajikistani hydropower will remain a contentious issue in Central Asia, as Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan strongly oppose developments due to worries that the downstream of the Amu Darya and Syr Darya rivers will suffer negative consequences. Few gas export commitments beyond the Chinese market means that Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan have few outlets for their gas production besides domestic consumption. ...� The Ak Budai gas-fired power plant (---.-MW) was commissioned in the Turkmen Akhal region in ----, while we expect the Dervezinsky gas-fired power plant (---.-MW) in the same region to come online in ----. These two plants will be the key drivers of power generation growth in the Turkmen gas sector.

...The dominance of unreliable hydropower coupled with a continued lack of investment in ageing and new power capacity will prolong Kyrgyzstan s power generation shortfall over our ---year forecast period. As such, Kyrgyzstan s power mix will remain vulnerable to supply disruptions over our ---year forecast. ...On the other hand, water levels fall during the winter as it is locked away as ice and snow in the mountains, which in turn limits hydropower generation. Given that peak power demand is registered in the winter months, severe generation shortfalls occur, leaving many households without electricity during the colder months. The negative situation is reinforced by our muted view of power mix diversification plans. While the country produces coal - there have been very few new coal generation projects. Furthermore, in a deteriorating economic environment, we see little room for the government to invest in new gas and oil generation capacity (see KZT devaluation Darkes Outlook For Rest Of Central Asia, August -- ----).

...BMI View: Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan will rely on gas-fired power generation during our ---year forecast period, as a result of large domestic gas supplies coupled with few export commitments. Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, on the other hand, will suffer from power generation shortfalls, due to headwinds preventing diversification away from unreliable hydropower. ...

  
Source:
Document ID
2058-0827
Country
Industry
Format:
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Central Asia Power Report" Jan 09, 2016. Alacra Store. Dec 10, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Central-Asia-Power-Report-2026-1815>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2016). Central Asia Power Report Jan 09, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 10, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Central-Asia-Power-Report-2026-1815>
  
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