Caucasus Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Caucasus Country Risk Report

Caucasus Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Caucasus Country Risk Report
Published Jul 23, 2015
61 pages — Published Jul 23, 2015
Price US$ 1,195.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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Abstract:

The bMi Risk Indices can be used to rank emerging markets in terms of political risk, the economy and the operational risk environment. There are four indices: a composite score, political index, economy index and operational risk index. ...However, we see room for additional down- grades to Armenia s score as security threats remain elevated. This is in light of the Ukraine crisis in early ----, and although tensions have de-escalated, significant risks still remain for the Armenia as a state that has joined the russian-led customs union econoMic risK Armenia s long-term growth outlook remains reliant on russian support and export demand, especially in light of Armenia s accession to the Eurasian Economic Union in ----. This will likely deter western foreign direct investment flows into Armenia, sorely needed to update the country s crumbling infrastructure and outmoded manufacturing and mining sectors. ...

...Armenia s economy will continue to struggle during --------- pri- marily due to its trade and remittance flow links with ailing russia. Beyond this we continue to see little means of diversifying its growth model away from one driven by private consumption underpinned by volatile remittance flows. ...we forecast the Russian economy to contract -.- in real terms this year. Azerbaijan will continue to tread a fine line between siding with either russia or the EU. Azerbaijan s economic interests can be better served by increasing trade and energy routes with the EU, while maintaining good relations with Moscow will likely assist in keeping the autocratic regime of President Ilham Aliyev in power. Major Forecast changes we have moderately revised up our forecasts for headline real GDP growth to -.- and -.- for ---- and ----, from -.- and -.- respectively. ...Levels of per- ceived corruption are extremely high, which could prove a deterrent to investment. This is highlighted by Azerbaijan s below-average score of --.- out of --- in our operational Risk Index, which is below average among EM and global peers.

...bMi indices � brief Methodology composite score The composite score is an unweighted geometric mean of the short-term political and short-term economic scores, allowing a ranking of all countries in BMI s emerging markets universe. ...bMi indices � brief Methodology composite score The composite score is an unweighted geometric mean of the short-term political and short-term economic scores, allowing a ranking of all countries in BMI s emerging markets universe. Political risk index The political index is an indicator of political stability, seen as a pre-requisite for a stable economy and business environment. ...

  
Source:
Document ID
1750-2144
Format:
PDF Adobe Acrobat
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Caucasus Country Risk Report" Jul 23, 2015. Alacra Store. Dec 09, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Caucasus-Country-Risk-Report-2026-1763>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2015). Caucasus Country Risk Report Jul 23, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 09, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Caucasus-Country-Risk-Report-2026-1763>
  
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