Brazil Food and Drink Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Brazil Food and Drink Report

Brazil Food and Drink Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Brazil Food and Drink Report
Published Aug 20, 2016
98 pages — Published Aug 20, 2016
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Abstract:

The next few years will see relatively slow real private consumption growth, but we anticipate a moderate acceleration in the latter half of the forecast period. First, the worst of the economic slowdown will have passed, creating new opportunities in the oil and gas and construction sectors, and bolstering job creation. Second, in line with our view for moderately stronger economic activity, we forecast a rise in GDP per capita throughout the next decade, which will increase the purchasing power of the country s poorest segments and help to drive consumption. Moreover, despite our forecast for rate hikes in the near term, Brazil s Selic target rate will continue to converge with its regional peers throughout the forecast period due to stronger inflation-fighting credentials and deepening capital markets. This will improve the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy (see Secular Policy Rate Convergence To Continue , March -- ----). In turn, this will bring down average lending rates and increasing consumers access to financing, supporting consumption. Real private consumption growth will not return to its recent highs throughout the forecast period, although a massive consumer base, growing access to financing, and modestly stronger economic activity in the latter half of the decade will mean that long-term investment opportunities in Brazil s consumer sector persist despite significant near-term headwinds.

...BMI View: Brazil s food and drink industry will experience a contraction in real terms, as we forecast food and drink spending to grow below inflation throughout ----. Price conscious consumers will increasingly trade down price points, driving growth in economically priced categories. The cash-and-carry format will experience positive growth as consumers prefer to make bulk purchases in order to stem the effects of food inflation. Food and Drink Spending (---------) Food, sales, BRLmn Non-alcoholic drinks, sales, BRLmn ---- ---- ---- ----f ----f ----f ----f ----f - ---,--- ---,--- ---,--- -,---,--- -,---,--- e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Food and Drink Spending (---------) Food, sales, BRLmn Non-alcoholic drinks, sales, BRLmn ---- ---- ---- ----f ----f ----f ----f ----f - ---,--- ---,--- ---,--- -,---,--- -,---,--- e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. ...Food and Drink Spending (---------) Food, sales, BRLmn Non-alcoholic drinks, sales, BRLmn ---- ---- ---- ----f ----f ----f ----f ----f - ---,--- ---,--- ---,--- -,---,--- -,---,--- e/f = BMI estimate/forecast.

...Real private consumption growth will slow down after its recent highs, expanding by an annual average of -.- between ---- and ----, down from -.- in the previous -- years. Moreover, despite our forecast for rate hikes in the near term, Brazil s Selic target rate will continue to converge with its regional peers throughout the forecast period due to stronger inflation-fighting credentials and deepening capital markets. ...

  
Source:
Document ID
1749-2602
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Industry
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Brazil Food and Drink Report" Aug 20, 2016. Alacra Store. Dec 09, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Brazil-Food-and-Drink-Report-2026-364>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2016). Brazil Food and Drink Report Aug 20, 2016. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 09, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Brazil-Food-and-Drink-Report-2026-364>
  
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