Bahrain Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Bahrain Country Risk Report

Bahrain Country Risk Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Bahrain Country Risk Report
Published May 26, 2015
49 pages — Published May 26, 2015
Price US$ 1,195.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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...bahrain Q- ---- elevated socio-economic tensions represent Major Weakness long-Term Political Risk Index (- to ---) Source: BMI in Iraq and Lebanon. In Bahrain, Shi a Muslims feel they have been denied equal access to political power, and socio-economic benefits such as jobs and welfare. Bahrain is far wealthier (in terms of per capita GDP) than Iraq and Lebanon, and this historically helped prevent the city-state from experiencing mass violence or civil war, but events since February ---- have demonstrated that wealth alone is insuf- ficient to prevent public unrest. Geopolitical tensions: Although the evidence is limited, Bah- rain s rulers and Saudi Arabia believe that Iran has been instigat- ing the Shi a unrest that began in February ----. ...If Bahrain does become a fully-fledged parliamentary democ- racy, then the Shi as are expected to rise in influence, since -- Business Monitor International Ltd

...Source: BMI the opposition since the start of the ---- crisis. However, the more conservative factions � centred on the security establish- ment and Prime Minister Khalifa bin Salman al-Khalifa, and supported by Saudi Arabia � have been successful in blocking attempts at reform, relying instead on repression. ...increasingly Dependent on its Larger neighbour Saudi Arabia s political and security influence over Bahrain has always been considerable, owing to the extensive ties between the two ruling families and the weight of Saudi financial support. The Abu Safa field in Saudi Arabia, provides approximately -- of Bahraini government revenue, while the King Fahd Causeway connecting the two countries is Bahraini s only link to the mainland and ensures a steady stream of Saudi visitors, which form the lifeblood of the Bahraini tourism industry (a crucial source of employment). Saudi Arabia has exploited these linkages to put pressure on its smaller neighbour in the past. ...Barring a large adjustment to public spending, further financial support from Saudi Arabia will likely be needed.

...TABle: emeRGInG mARKeTS, ReAl GDP GROWTH, -- core Views The slump in oil prices presents a challenge to Bahrain s growth outlook, with the government under pressure to cut spending over the coming years. That said, we expect development funds from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) to support construction activity, while strong consumption in Saudi Arabia will feed into Bahrain s tourism sector. ...Key risks to outlook A more pronounced regional crisis stemming from an uptick in ten- sions between Iran and the West could see risk premiums spike higher, particularly for Bahrain. Failure to find a lasting solution to the political crisis has seen ele- ments of the opposition becoming increasingly radicalised, with use of militant tactics such as improvised explosive devices. A continuation of this trend could result in Bahrain s `safe haven status suffering irreparable damage. ...

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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Bahrain Country Risk Report" May 26, 2015. Alacra Store. May 22, 2018. <>
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2015). Bahrain Country Risk Report May 26, 2015. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved May 22, 2018 from <>
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