Argentina Business Forecast Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports

Argentina Business Forecast Report

Argentina Business Forecast Report - Business Monitor International - Industry Reports
Argentina Business Forecast Report
Published Dec 12, 2014
50 pages — Published Dec 12, 2014
Price US$ 1,195.00  |  Buy this Report Now

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Abstract:

...Source: National Sources, BMI - Business Monitor International Ltd www ArgentinA Q- ---- executive summary - core Views Major Forecast changes Key risks to outlook chapter -: political outlook - sWot analysis - BMi political risk index - Domestic/short-term politics - Local election result a Blow to A deteriorating economy, rising crime and a lingering debt standoff will weigh on political support for the ruling Frente Para la Victoria (FPV) ahead of Argentina s next presidential election in October ----. ...Source: National Sources, BMI - Business Monitor International Ltd www ArgentinA Q- ---- executive summary - core Views Major Forecast changes Key risks to outlook chapter -: political outlook - sWot analysis - BMi political risk index - Domestic/short-term politics - Local election result a Blow to A deteriorating economy, rising crime and a lingering debt standoff will weigh on political support for the ruling Frente Para la Victoria (FPV) ahead of Argentina s next presidential election in October ----. A poor showing by the FPV in a recent local election has reinforced this view. ...Growth will accelerate during the second half of our ---year forecast, driven by rising natural gas production and stronger inbound investment as the policy e nvironment continues to evolve in a more business-friendly direction. table: lonG-term macroeconomic forecasts -- chapter -: operational risk -- sWot analysis -- operational risk -- operational risk -- TABle: OPeRATIOnAl RISK InDex -- transport -- TABle: lATIn AmeRICA TRAnSPORT neTWORK RISKS -- economic openness -- TABle: lATIn AmeRICA � eCOnOmIC OPenneSS RISK -- table: exPort by Product, -- chapter -: Key sectors -- infrastructure -- table: construction and infrastructure industry data -- table: construction and infrastructure industry -- oil & gas -- table: oil Production -- table: oil Production -- table: Gas Production -- table: Gas Production -- other Key sectors --

...Moreover, the emergence of a sizeable coalition made up of the centre-right Propuesta Republicana party (PRO) and the centre-left Union Civica Radical (UCR), along with the rise of the centre-left Frente Renovador (FR), indicates that the Per- onist s longstanding grip on policymaking is loosening ahead of the next elections (see Local Election Result A Blow To FPV , September -- ----). This shift comes amid mounting popular discontent over the failure of the government s unorthodox economic policies. ...Daniel Scioli, the FPV s most likely nominee, will continue to see his support stagnate in the months ahead. With economic policy moderation on the cards regardless of the electoral outcome, this will pave the way for a gradual normalisation of Argentina s relationship with the international investment com- munity, which is key to realising the country s growth potential and maintaining political stability. policy pivot underway With its support falling and the October ---- presidential elec- tion on the horizon, the FPV will face increasing pressure to orient policymaking in an investor-friendly direction in order to bolster the economy. ...Indeed, the government passed a bill in November to create a more stable regulatory environ- ment for energy sector investment (see Magallanes Production Agreement Underscores Positive Outlook , November -- ----). More Fundamental reforms to Follow the election The FPV will adopt a more centrist approach ahead of next October s elections, but fundamental reforms to the Argentine economy will be off the cards until a new government is elected

...Indeed, those candidates most closely associated with Argentina s left wing fared poorly. Daniel Fragazzini, a dissident member of the Partido Justicialista (Peronists) aligned with Cordoba Governor Jose Manuel de la Sota, placed second, while the FPV s candidate, Raul Santiago Gutierrez, placed a distant fourth with -.- of the vote. While most presidential polls have shown Sergio Massa, Buenos Aires representative in the Chamber of Deputies and a Peronist who broke away from the FPV in ----, as the early front-runner, the emergence of a PRO/UCR alliance suggests there may be scope for a candidate completely unaligned with the Partido Justicialista to make a strong run. As such, we view PRO leader and the incumbent mayor of Buenos Aires, Mauricio Macri, as an increasingly serious potential candidate for president, and Macri s support rose from --.- in June to --.- in July according to Management & Fit s monthly s survey of the presidential race. ...

  
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Business Monitor International - Industry Reports—Established in 1984, Business Monitor International is a leading online publisher of specialist business information on global emerging markets. Business Monitor's range of quarterly services covers political risk, finance, macroeconomic performance, outlook and forecast, industry sectors and the business operating environment. Each Industry Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.

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MLA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. "Argentina Business Forecast Report" Dec 12, 2014. Alacra Store. Dec 05, 2016. <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Argentina-Business-Forecast-Report-2026-1618>
  
APA:
Business Monitor International - Industry Reports. (2014). Argentina Business Forecast Report Dec 12, 2014. New York, NY: Alacra Store. Retrieved Dec 05, 2016 from <http://www.alacrastore.com/storecontent/Business-Monitor-International-Industry-Reports/Argentina-Business-Forecast-Report-2026-1618>
  
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