Report title: Economic Research: U.S. Economic Forecast: Who?ll Stop The Rain?
from S&P Credit Research
2899 word report published Jul 10, 2009

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Abstract: Although the sky might be getting a little brighter, there is still no real break in the rain that keeps falling on the economy. The June employment report was somewhat disappointing, and other data remain mixed at best. We still believe the economy is on track to hit bottom in the fall, but it isn't there yet. The recovery promises to be a very soft one. Second-quarter economic data are coming in a bit better than expected. We now expect real GDP to drop only 2.2% rather than the 2.8% we estimated last month. However, because some of the improvement comes from higher inventories, we have revised our projection of second-half growth downward. We've also revised our estimate of the

Brief Excerpt: RESEARCH Ratings Definitions Economic Research: U.S. Economic Forecast: WhoaÇÖll Stop The Rain? Publication date: 10-Jul-2009 Credit Market Services: David Wyss, Chief Economist, New York (1) 212-438-4952; david_wyss@standardandpoors.com...

Report Type: Commentary
Sector: Global Issuers, Public Finance, Structured Finance
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