CMBS: Red Yellow Green« Update, Third Quarter 2009 Quarterly Assessment of U.S. Property Markets

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from Moody's Global Credit Research
30 page (13097 word) report published Oct 22, 2009

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...report measures the health of the commercial real estate markets that support the majority of loans in commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS). This report is based on data from the second quarter of 2009. While scores in all seven property types are down from a year ago (see Figure 1), only one, industrial, saw a decline in score this quarter, reaching a new record low due to a sharp increase in vacancy. The hotel sectors' scores remained unchanged again at Red 0, and still have a deep hole to climb out of before their scores can surpass that level. Both office sectors and retail also maintained the same scores from last quarter, as increases in vacancy were offset by improvements in the projected supply- demand relationship. Multifamily returned to green territory, ending its brief stint at the upper end of yellow last quarter, due to improvements in forecasted absorption rates. Though the scores remained relatively flat this quarter, it is premature to assume that the markets have...

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Moody's Investors Service, a leading global credit rating, research and risk analysis firm, publishes credit opinions, research, and ratings on fixed-income securities, issuers of securities and other credit obligations. Credit ratings and research help investors analyze the credit risks associated with fixed-income securities. Ratings also create efficiencies in fixed-income markets and similar obligations, such as insurance and derivatives, by providing reliable, credible, and independent assessments of credit risk. For issuers, Moody's services increase market liquidity and may reduce transaction costs.

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