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LATIN AMERICA: Andes faces political polarisation
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2007-12-31 |
autonomy challenge - December ##, ####). As #### ended, these departments, along...and February #### may provide a respite in which to initiate...respite in which to initiate a period of dialogue between the...departments will involve themselves in a series of referendums that are |
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EUROPEAN UNION: Germany will seek better CO2 cap deal
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2007-12-31 |
the EU targets for #### -- a ##% reduction in greenhouse gas...in greenhouse gas emissions and a rise to ##% of energy...Manufacturer#;s Association (ACEA) signed a voluntary agreement with the Commission...In February, the Commission proposed a new legally binding European average |
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UKRAINE: Growth will slow in 2008, with high inflation
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2007-12-31 |
####. Current indicators are primarily a function of unusual rises in...in January-September, there was a counterbalancing surplus on the financial...impact -- direct or indirect -- of a host of various economic factors...the trade and food sectors, as well as the less stable but almost |
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THAILAND: Pro-Thaksin party prepares for power
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2007-12-31 |
had enough seats to form a government. The party, which supports...is also vying to form a government. The key players in...Election results, subject to adjustment as the Election Commission (EC) considers...negotiations on the formation of a coalition government are underway, with |
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PROSPECTS 2008: Rifts and shocks ahead for Japan
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2007-12-31 |
expansion. For the first time, a government is entering a new year in which one...economy is at risk on a number of fronts, but the...can pass the bill with a two-thirds majority, overriding an...house, but this could precipitate a no-confidence vote in the |
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BAHRAIN: Human rights scrutiny is growing
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2007-12-31 |
BYSHR has been continually refused a licence to operate. Bahraini human...concerted pressure from the authorities. A list of victims of human...has not yet appeared, probably as a result of such pressure. There...#### was supposed to draw a line under the past, but |
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PROSPECTS 2008: Southern Africa faces two key polls
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2007-12-31 |
contest is likely to pose a significant threat to political stability...and whether Zambia should be a Christian or a secular state. Economic outlook Most...infrastructure investment - October ##, ####). As a result, the regional economy should...and associated investments), but also a major programme of post-conflict |
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PROSPECTS 2008: Risk factors cloud Chile outlook
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2007-12-31 |
imported food-price inflation and a tight energy supply, overshadow the...inflation and the implications of a slowdown or recession in the...Non-copper exporters complain that a strong currency is undermining their...Bachelet is expected to announce a major cabinet reshuffle in the |
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INTERNATIONAL: Airport slots raise regulation concerns
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2007-12-28 |
in Europe, slot coordination is a growing regulatory concern. Airports, increasingly...and landing slots are a key part of the airport...Slots tend to trade in a grey market with prices depending...timing. Recently there has been a steep rise in value of |
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PARAGUAY: Partisan primaries promise election splits
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2007-12-28 |
his vice-president, but now a bitter enemy. Despite confident assertions...Duarte that Ovelar would win a convincing victory, backed by opinion...Ovelar had polled ##.#%, a marginal advantage of only #...s electoral commission estimates that a further ###,### votes from |
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PROSPECTS 2008: Anxiety ahead for the two Koreas
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2007-12-28 |
the Korean peninsula in ####. A new government in South Korea...big business, but may face a backlash. Should North Korea fail...serious economic reform or choosing a successor.South Korea Lee Myung...Lee Myung-bak, elected by a landslide on December ## for |
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US/IRAN: Improved NIE process cannot escape politics
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2007-12-28 |
community and among outside analysts as a more analytically sound document than...Michael McConnell this month released a National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on...the programme ceased in ####, a reversal of the conclusion of...has denied that it has a nuclear weapons programme while asserting |
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PAKISTAN: Bhutto death leaves election in doubt
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2007-12-28 |
for regional and global security, as well as state stability. Moreover the circumstances...election rally in Rawalpindi represents a serious threat to political stability...in October, she had played a leading role in pressing President...####). For the United States, a parliamentary government under her leadership |
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PROSPECTS 2008: Will politics slow Russia's economy?
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2007-12-28 |
economy in ####. Russia faces a high level of political uncertainty...high level of political uncertainty as President Vladimir Putin#;s term...merchandise imports.The Reserve Fund -- a successor to the existing Stabilisation...electricity and labour shortages, and a rising real exchange rate will |
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TANZANIA: Graft and party rifts threaten Kikwete goals
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2007-12-28 |
Challenges facing President Jakaya Kikwete as he approaches mid-term. Kikwete...Personal touch He has gained a reputation for being dynamic and...He is reputed to carry a mobile phone on which ordinary...is also likely to meet a second goal of ensuring gender |
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PROSPECTS 2008: Serbia faces risk and instability
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2007-12-28 |
reaction to it will be a challenge to regional stability. The...declaration of independence will cause a negative response from Belgrade and...negotiations to try and build a consensus among EU states for...Ahtisaari, for supervised independence, with a large new EU mission taking |
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ZIMBABWE: Harare exposes limits of 'Look East' policy
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2007-12-27 |
of Asian economic powers such as China, Malaysia and India, which...where the sun rises" struck a note with fellow Africans for...to interpret Mugabe#;s policy as the desperate gamble of an...evidence suggests that this was a carefully calculated step based on |
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CEE: 'Hidden' economy poses risks to growth
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2007-12-27 |
growth. The #;hidden#; economy is a fuzzy concept, but it is...fuzzy concept, but it is a key factor in providing goods...cover everything from the output a registered firm sells but does...widespread existence in CEE of a hidden economy under communism must |
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PROSPECTS 2008: Commodities will buoy South-east Asia
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2007-12-27 |
might be expected to suffer as much or more from slowdowns...mostly open markets for capital as well as goods they might be assumed...growth in ####.Commodities remain a key export earner, reducing the...underpin growth, at least for a time, when external conditions deteriorate |
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PROSPECTS 2008: Stability in Kiev may be short-lived
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