Oxford Analytica Founded in 1975, Oxford Analytica is an international consulting firm which provides business and political leaders with timely analysis of worldwide political, economic and social developments. Oxford Analytica acts as a bridge between the world of ideas and the world of enterprise. One of its major assets is an extensive international network which draws on the scholarship and expertise of over 1,000 senior members at Oxford and other leading universities around the world, as well as think-tanks and institutes of international standing.
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Name Date
CHINA: Government and party mobilise over quake CHINA: Government and party mobilise over quake 2008-05-15
it is doing so in a media spotlight. In the afternoon...the afternoon of May ##, a major earthquake measuring #.#...on the Richter scale hit a small county in Sichuan, in...strongest earthquake in three decades. As of yesterday, close to ##
UNITED STATES: Obama confronts continued racial divide UNITED STATES: Obama confronts continued racial divide 2008-05-15
primary indicated that race was a factor for over ##% of...educated voters. This could become a major impediment to his prospects...American to the head of a major party would signal a major shift in the political...dissipated. Overt racism is now a major social taboo. However, racial
AFRICA: Economic growth is strong but constrained AFRICA: Economic growth is strong but constrained 2008-05-15
uncertainties pose increasing downside risks: A global slowdown may weaken prices...regimes are facing practical challenges, as African countries have begun to...the nominal exchange rate, or a broad range of other indicators...push#; and local #;pull#; factors, a number of SSA economies have
SERBIA: Poll pits nationalists against pro-EU tide SERBIA: Poll pits nationalists against pro-EU tide 2008-05-15
good results for the For a European Serbia (ZES) coalition, led...SRS) won ##% (## seats), a fall from the January ####...was hailed by its leaders as a triumph. Serbia: Parliamentary elections Main...Republic Electoral Commission (RIK) For a European Serbia (ZES -- DS+G##
UK/INTERNATIONAL: BoE seeks light amid the gloom UK/INTERNATIONAL: BoE seeks light amid the gloom 2008-05-15
UK economy. His remarks follow a more optimistic report earlier this...risk-taking by investors against a background of benign economic conditions...benign economic conditions. This was a key factor in last year...and which factors are preventing a return of the interbank market
LATIN AMERICA: Natural resources dominate FDI flows LATIN AMERICA:  Natural resources dominate FDI flows 2008-05-15
consumer demand within the region. A report by the UN Economic...FDI) in the region reached a record high of ### billion...dollars in ####, up from a previous record of ## billion...though global FDI also set a new record and reached an
SCIENCE/TECHNOLOGY: How likely is internet collapse? SCIENCE/TECHNOLOGY: How likely is internet collapse? 2008-05-15
and haphazardly, and now is a pervasive and efficient #;network of...and international knock-on effects.As key parts of social, economic...and effects of #;network collapse#;; as the internet evolves into a more extensive and complex network...increase in range and frequency.As evidence of structural tremors has
UNITED STATES: Hedge fund industry faces more scrutiny UNITED STATES: Hedge fund industry faces more scrutiny 2008-05-14
officials remain committed to pursuing a market-based model for regulation...PWG) on April ## released a report on #;best practices#; for...is principles-based and represents a significant departure from the more...strategy hedge funds cater to a variety of institutional investors -- including
EUROPEAN UNION: EP seeks to toughen lobby controls EUROPEAN UNION: EP seeks to toughen lobby controls 2008-05-14
on May # to adopt a major report on lobbying transparency...transparency. The report largely endorsed a draft code of conduct for...paving the way for introducing a common system for registering and...May # voted to adopt a report calling for stricter rules
INDONESIA: Jakarta hesitates on military businesses INDONESIA: Jakarta hesitates on military businesses 2008-05-14
Bambang Yudhoyono last month signed a presidential degree establishing a government team to organise the...the state. For more than a year, he had appeared reluctant...####-##), the military established a vast web of enterprises, foundations...larger businesses suffered heavily as a result of the ####-##
JAPAN/CHINA: Competition intensifies for regional jets JAPAN/CHINA: Competition intensifies for regional jets 2008-05-14
Mitsubishi#;s formal launch of a regional jet programme, the market...intended to insulate Japan from a challenge at the WTO, which...Mitsubishi intends using its experience as a supplier to Boeing and Europe...Boeing and Europe#;s Airbus as a platform for entering a market where it expects to
RUSSIA: Media rebranding will not be enough RUSSIA: Media rebranding will not be enough 2008-05-14
unlikely to include media freedom, as understood in the West. Instead...has already described the media as a branch of power. The televised...May # was more than a well-prepared and slightly pompous...marked the firm establishment of a televised state ritual, aimed at
INTERNATIONAL: Patent filings signal growth prospects INTERNATIONAL: Patent filings signal growth prospects 2008-05-14
economies. International patent filings are a clear indicator of a country#;s technological competence and...exclusively so; some sectors -- such as mining or IT services -- do...IT services -- do not have a high propensity to patent. Other...graduates from universities. International patents -- a subset of all patent activity
COLOMBIA: Uribe faces mounting challenges COLOMBIA: Uribe faces mounting challenges 2008-05-14
near future, raising questions over a possible re-election bid. Public...It marks the first time a member of the FARC#;s...campaign: Many remain unfilled, such as wider health care coverage, universal...through many substantive policy reforms as a #;lame duck#; president. Paramilitary demobilisation
AFRICA: Region's attractiveness for SWFs could grow AFRICA: Region 2008-05-14
predominantly sponsored by developing countries. As such, it is conceivable that...important sources of development finance. A key question is the role...in underserved financial markets, such as sub-Saharan Africa. Sovereign wealth...suggests they will increasingly have a key development role. Some have
US/INDIA: Strengthening ties requires novel approach US/INDIA: Strengthening ties requires novel approach 2008-05-13
has made improving bilateral relations a priority, and his presidency has...his presidency has generally witnessed a significant rise in US-Indian...nuclear deal suggest that building a strong partnership will be a painstaking process. This is largely...Under Bush, there has been a steady rise in the priority
RUSSIA-KYRGYZSTAN: Close ties will endure RUSSIA-KYRGYZSTAN: Close ties will endure 2008-05-13
in Kyrgyzstan in #### in a move designed to counterbalance the...### personnel. The shooting of a Russian officer from the base...night of April ##-##, a Russian army officer was shot...army officer was shot after a vehicle carrying military personnel from
MAURITANIA: Old guard makes comeback in new cabinet MAURITANIA: Old guard makes comeback in new cabinet 2008-05-13
Combined with the creation of a pro-presidential party in January...January, the new government is a powerful reassertion of the interests...replaced Premier Zeine Ould Zeidane, a political independent and rival for...minister is regarded by some as a presidential ultra-loyalist and by
AFGHANISTAN/NATO: Insurgency fight lacks focus AFGHANISTAN/NATO: Insurgency fight lacks focus 2008-05-13
month#;s terrorist attack on a military parade attended by President...capacity to maintain security at a time when NATO is keen...challenges, and is undermined by a lack of consensus about the...and has been widely perceived as the product of the Pakistani
JAPAN: Election to leave LDP weaker but still in power JAPAN: Election to leave LDP weaker but still in power 2008-05-13
up to the next election. A general election is due by...timing to be decided by a ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP...the more important lower house. A general election has to be...can win enough to form a government.LDP decline In the
BOLIVIA: Recall referendum will reaffirm Morales BOLIVIA: Recall referendum will reaffirm Morales 2008-05-13
Morales yesterday signed into law a recall referendum for the presidency...August ##. Morales calculates that a recall referendum would reaffirm his...his political standing, while offering a distraction from departmental referendums on...autonomy. On May #, in a surprise move, the opposition-controlled
POLAND: State aims to complete privatisation by 2011 POLAND: State aims to complete privatisation by 2011 2008-05-13
market#;s ability to absorb a massive inflow of new state...companies.The government has presented a list of ### companies subject...WSE). It has also presented a list of companies that will...Although this status was devised as a temporary legal form ahead of
LEBANON: Parallels with 1975 highlight civil war risks LEBANON: Parallels with 1975 highlight civil war risks 2008-05-13
in the early phases of a new drawn-out civil conflict...are very different, there are a number of similarities which can...predict the course of events. A high-level Arab league delegation...s decision to close down a Hizbollah telecommunications network: The army
SUDAN: JEM assault highlights peace strategy risks SUDAN: JEM assault highlights peace strategy risks 2008-05-12
launched an assault on Omdurman, a western suburb of Khartoum. Omdurman...This is the first time a Darfur rebel group has staged...rebels, but their attack highlights a number of concerns for the...capital, but aimed to send a warning to the government and
RUSSIA: Putin is yet to commit to ambitious MERT map RUSSIA: Putin is yet to commit to ambitious MERT map 2008-05-12
the presidency and been installed as prime minister, he is directly...economic policy. On May #, as President Dmitry Medvedev#;s nominee...the autumn, possibly implying a downgrading of the new president...ministerial remit. Rather than give a comprehensive assessment of the state
IRAN: Fragmented opposition poses little threat IRAN: Fragmented opposition poses little threat 2008-05-12
people was carried out by a monarchist group with ties to...that is based in exile, as well as the various internal ethnic and...and reflects the diversity of a population in which almost ##...with the main groupings such as the People#;s Mojahedin Organisation
JAPAN/CHINA: Hu visit sees road map but not substance JAPAN/CHINA: Hu visit sees road map but not substance 2008-05-12
s President Hu Jintao ended a five-day official visit to...#-##, his first visit as president; and the first for...president; and the first for a decade by a Chinese president since Jiang Zemin...December, in what was described as a #;springtime#; for bilateral ties. Hu
INDIA: Policies on prices threaten reform reversal INDIA: Policies on prices threaten reform reversal 2008-05-12
The government last week imposed a ban on futures trading in...troubles - April ##, ####): With a general election due by May...going to the polls during a period of high inflation. With...In fact, the report of a much delayed government committee -- set
INTERNATIONAL: Good governance offers higher returns INTERNATIONAL: Good governance offers higher returns 2008-05-12
under management worldwide in ####. As such, their governance -- which refers...fund governance remains inadequate and a shift from poor to good...In short, the governance of a pension considers the factors affecting...its core, good governance requires a sound investment policy underpinned by
BRAZIL: Dengue points up health policy shortcomings BRAZIL:  Dengue points up health policy shortcomings 2008-05-12
the priority given to prevention as opposed to hospital care in...The fight against dengue represents a challenge for many developing world...many developing world health systems, as it requires both prevention and...increasing human migration and travel, as well as global warming, have all contributed
MONTENEGRO: Government looks set until 2009 election MONTENEGRO: Government looks set until 2009 election 2008-05-12
in October ####, resumed office as prime minister, following the retirement...His return helped to ensure a clear win in the April...League of Communists, and oppose a DPS-sponsored bill that will...open up to EU purchasers. As selling prime land to foreigners
QATAR: Inflation threatens projects and growth QATAR: Inflation threatens projects and growth 2008-05-09
the past five years. However, a sharp decline last year, despite...has attributed the dip to a decline in the oil and...see QATAR: Gas drives emergence as economic giant - September ##, ####...inflation has also been having a growing impact on the economy
SCIENCE/TECHNOLOGY: Temperatures affect ocean currents SCIENCE/TECHNOLOGY: Temperatures affect ocean currents 2008-05-09
which ocean circulations change with a warming climate, how changing sea...temperatures and solar activity is a key focus of current climate...of ocean circulation suggests that a warming climate will result in...water below; and evaporate at a faster rate, thus weakening circulation
RUSSIA: Third presidency could outrun tycoon's luck RUSSIA: Third presidency could outrun tycoon 2008-05-09
could outrun tycoon#;s luck A profile of Oleg Deripaska, reportedly...s richest man. Deripaska owns a business empire including a ##% stake in the world...Russia#;s new political conditions, as the balance of interest between...groups changes. Oleg Deripaska is a powerful self-made man with
VENEZUELA: Medium-term economic risks on the rise VENEZUELA:  Medium-term economic risks on the rise 2008-05-09
inflationary pressure. On May #, as components of a package of measures aimed at...avoid negative real interest rates. As a result, the disincentive towards -- badly...first quarter of this year, a further #.# billion dollars...####, imports increased by ###%. A devaluation later this year or
JAPAN: Inflation seems finally back to stay JAPAN: Inflation seems finally back to stay 2008-05-09
for wage and monetary policy, as well as for the value of the...in March from its level a year earlier, which compares with...year earlier, which compares with a #.#% increase in February...price movement is cost-push, as rising commodity prices are transmitted
INTERNATIONAL: Solar PV set to grow INTERNATIONAL: Solar PV set to grow 2008-05-09
over the past six years as supply-side concerns have eased...to other renewables, PV has a relatively well-established track record...support mechanisms are in place.A growing number of manufacturers are...and #;Concentrating Solar Power#; plants. As such, solar technology is heading
EUROPEAN UNION: ENP may not become EU entry tool EUROPEAN UNION: ENP may not become EU entry tool 2008-05-09
KAZAKHSTAN: Wheat export ban harms poorer neighbours KAZAKHSTAN: Wheat export ban harms poorer neighbours 2008-05-08
s domestic market, pre-empting a repeat of last year#;s...yet still ##% higher than a year earlier. Russia may yet...has been no indication of a shift in Kazakhstan#;s position...including Australia and India, causing a surge in prices (see INTERNATIONAL
UNITED STATES: Regulatory lawsuits likely to expand UNITED STATES: Regulatory lawsuits likely to expand 2008-05-08
likely to expand Private lawsuits as #;regulatory tools#;. Legislation has been...has been introduced to overturn a Supreme Court decision and allow...Enforcement Act of #### (EJEA); a parallel measure was offered in...oppose the bill, it signals a trend that bears watching, as Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton
BURMA: Cyclone puts junta survival in doubt BURMA: Cyclone puts junta survival in doubt 2008-05-08
national rice crop and contain a third of the country#;s...embassy in Rangoon has estimated a death toll of at least...For example, there is only a minimal presence of security forces...of security forces in Rangoon -- a sharp contrast with their rapid
CHINA: Beijing stumbles over Olympic torch hurdle CHINA: Beijing stumbles over Olympic torch hurdle 2008-05-08
Tibetan and foreign activists for a #;free Tibet#; upset torch relays...Tibet#; upset torch relays in a number of countries. Pro-China...China has risked coming across as shrill and immoderate. The public...China. Issues here came to a head in Hong Kong, a territory guaranteed freedoms that were
EQUATORIAL GUINEA: Regime tightens control in polls EQUATORIAL GUINEA: Regime tightens control in polls 2008-05-08
brought forward parliamentary elections by a year to run in tandem...their overwhelming dominance of parliament. As in every previous poll since...be maintained. Security first Since a failed coup attempt in ####...regime - June ##, ####). Despite a campaign pledge that "to determine
CHILE: Volcano threatens regional economy, environment CHILE: Volcano threatens regional economy, environment 2008-05-08
over #,### years, began a major eruption on May #...the area#;s economic future as well as the fauna and flora of...expelled lava, it has raised a plume of gas, ash and...reach Buenos Aires. Volcanic Chile As well as being prone to earthquakes, Chile
NETHERLANDS: Political extremism undermines economy NETHERLANDS: Political extremism undermines economy 2008-05-08
Muslims and threatened to provoke a strong backlash against the Netherlands...##, ####). It also provoked a sharp debate in the Dutch...TON) -- to immediate popular success. A poll taken in April showed...of the party becomes clear. A survey of likely TON voters
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: 'Dubai model' put to test UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: 2008-05-08
UNITED STATES: Party advantage may not help Obama UNITED STATES: Party advantage may not help Obama 2008-05-07
enter the autumn campaign with a large #;brand#; advantage, but this...more encouraging. Unless there is a major political sea-change, this...elections has been that when a party holds the White House...it often struggles to secure a further term in office under
ISRAEL: Post-anniversary economic challenges loom ISRAEL: Post-anniversary economic challenges loom 2008-05-07
However, the current government faces a series of immediate challenges that...growth is to continue at a high level. Analysis of the...#.# million people, including a third of all children, living...Israel scores ##.#% versus a Western average of ##.#
UKRAINE: Securities market undergoes sharp correction UKRAINE: Securities market undergoes sharp correction 2008-05-07
months, the index has described a full circle, returning to values...#### by more than ###%, a pace that internationally was second...further strong growth, albeit not as strong as in #### -- somewhere in the...been utterly different. Having reached a new record of #,###
MALAYSIA: Opposition-controlled states up the stakes MALAYSIA: Opposition-controlled states up the stakes 2008-05-07
those run by the opposition, a minister said on May #...the biggest airport and seaport, as well as the automotive, electrical and electronics...air and seaports. It is a key tourist destination, a centre of the electronics sector...to the PAS, due to a constitutional stipulation that the chief
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