India Country Snapshot


EIU

India - Economist Intelligence Unit - The Economist

DOMESTIC POLITICS: Defying fears that the 2009 general election would return a fractious, unwieldy coalition government that would struggle to last its full five-year term, the result of the poll, which was concluded on May 13th, will provide a significant boost to India's political and economic prospects. Congress, which leads the United Progressive Alliance, received a solid mandate, and India's new government is therefore likely to be cohesive, durable and relatively free to implement liberalising reforms, rather than being hamstrung by the demands of recalcitrant coalition partners as Congress was during most of its 2004-09 term.

Country Forecast Overview (3 Year)
Key Indicators 2008 2009 2010
Real GDP Growth (%) 4.40 3.90 4.70
Consumer Price Inflation (av;%) 8.35 5.20 4.30
Budget Balance (% of GDP) -6.08 -7.80 -6.70
Current-Account Balance (% of GDP) -3.06 -1.90 -2.40
Exchange Rate US$:Euro (av) 43.51 48.49 47.43
Exchange Rate US$:Euro(year-end) 48.46 47.96 47.11

India GDP PPP & GDP Growth Rates
2004 - 2008
India GDP Growth Rate Chart

Year GDP in Billions of USD PPP % GDP Growth
2004 2,176.89 6.47
2005 2,445.19 7.43
2006 2,769.93 7.95
2007 3,103.32 7.30
2008 3,363.43 4.40
Source: EIU Country Data

India: risk assessment
Risk June 2009
Sovereign risk BB
Currency risk BB
Banking sector risk B
Political risk BBB
Economic structure risk BB
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