China - Economist Intelligence Unit - The Economist
DOMESTIC POLITICS: The violence in Xinjiang province this year has again highlighted the dangers posed by China's restive ethnic minorities, and comes just over a year after widespread unrest threw Tibetan-dominated regions into chaos. It remains unlikely that these sorts of clashes will challenge the stability of the regime. Rather, by rallying ethnic-Han support around the cause of patriotism, the government has arguably strengthened its position. Nevertheless, the frequency of major ethnically based violence in the last two years suggests that the government's hardline approach to separatist movements is undermining relations with Tibetan and Uighur communities. A rethinking of policy in these regions would be welcome, but the chances of this happening are low.
Country Forecast Overview (3 Year)
| Key Indicators |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
| Real GDP Growth (%) |
8.45 |
7.70 |
8.20 |
| Consumer Price Inflation (av;%) |
5.90 |
-.80 |
2.40 |
| Budget Balance (% of GDP) |
-.41 |
-3.80 |
-3.70 |
| Current-Account Balance (% of GDP) |
9.65 |
6.40 |
4.60 |
| Exchange Rate US$:Euro (av) |
6.95 |
6.83 |
6.64 |
| Exchange Rate US$:Euro(year-end) |
6.84 |
6.80 |
6.46 |
China GDP PPP & GDP Growth Rates
2004 - 2008
| Year |
GDP in Billions of USD PPP |
% GDP Growth |
| 2004 |
4,689.66 |
9.44 |
| 2005 |
5,473.17 |
9.78 |
| 2006 |
6,307.01 |
11.01 |
| 2007 |
7,330.99 |
12.42 |
| 2008 |
8,161.48 |
8.45 |
Source: EIU Country Data
Yemen: risk assessment
| Risk |
November 2009 |
| Sovereign risk |
CC |
| Currency risk |
CCC |
| Banking sector risk |
CCC |
| Political risk |
D |
| Economic structure risk |
CCC |
|
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